Memphis
W-L: (27-30) PR = 94.3703Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Toledo MA ( 6-13, 93.3) 6- 8 214 H Toledo MA ( 6-13, 93.3) 5- 4 215 H Toledo MA ( 6-13, 93.3) 6- 4 217 A High Point BSO ( 8-12, 93.3) 11- 6 220 A Quinnipiac MAAC ( 3- 4, 91.7) 5- 0 221 H Louisiana Tech CUSA (31-26, 94.7) 5- 8 222 H Ohio State B10 (31-22, 95.0) 2- 8 224 A Little Rock OV (16-12, 93.9) 24- 5 227 H Jacksonville State CUSA (47-18, 97.1) 1-10 228 H Jacksonville State CUSA (47-18, 97.1) 4- 9 301 H Jacksonville State CUSA (47-18, 97.1) 1- 7 303 H Houston B12 (23-28, 94.6) 1- 2 306 H Stony Brook CA (22-27, 92.5) 5- 0 307 A Missouri State CUSA (35-19, 96.3) 5-14 308 A Missouri State CUSA (35-19, 96.3) 12-13 310 H Lipscomb AS (32-22, 92.2) 5- 2 313 H Eastern Illinois OV ( 8- 7, 93.8) 14- 2 314 H Eastern Illinois OV ( 8- 7, 93.8) 7-12 315 H Eastern Illinois OV ( 8- 7, 93.8) 14-25 320 A Tulane AME (25-31, 94.4) 7- 6 321 H Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 99.3) 6- 7 322 A Tulane AME (25-31, 94.4) 2-12 324 H Ole Miss SEC (38-25, 97.7) 6- 2 327 H Wichita State AME (33-26, 94.6) 3- 7 328 H Wichita State AME (33-26, 94.6) 11- 1 329 H Wichita State AME (33-26, 94.6) 3- 7 331 H Arkansas State SB (29-25, 95.5) 11- 9 402 A South Florida AME (30-22, 94.6) 1-10 403 A South Florida AME (30-22, 94.6) 7- 4 404 A South Florida AME (30-22, 94.6) 0- 5 407 H Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 2- 3 410 A Oklahoma State B12 (39-22, 97.2) 4- 3 411 H Florida Atlantic AME (28-26, 93.8) 4- 6 412 H Florida Atlantic AME (28-26, 93.8) 11- 6 414 H Mississippi Valley Sta SWAC ( 0- 4, 88.3) 11- 3 417 A Rice AME (31-26, 94.3) 4- 1 419 A Rice AME (31-26, 94.3) 6- 5 421 A Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 99.3) 2- 6 424 A UAB AME (31-27, 94.9) 6- 7 425 A UAB AME (31-27, 94.9) 13- 9 426 A UAB AME (31-27, 94.9) 2-11 428 A Murray State MV ( 9-13, 91.8) 5- 9 501 H East Carolina AME (36-25, 96.7) 0-12 502 H East Carolina AME (36-25, 96.7) 5- 3 503 H East Carolina AME (36-25, 96.7) 9- 4 505 H Central Arkansas AS (31-25, 92.7) 8- 3 508 H UTSA AME (38-20, 97.2) 6- 4 509 H UTSA AME (38-20, 97.2) 2- 9 510 H UTSA AME (38-20, 97.2) 10- 5 512 A Middle Tennessee CUSA (27-30, 93.4) 9-10 514 H Georgia State SB (26-30, 93.6) 9- 2 515 H Georgia State SB (26-30, 93.6) 2- 4 516 A Charlotte AME (25-31, 94.1) 7- 8 520 H Charlotte AME (25-31, 94.1) 13- 9 521 A UAB AME (31-27, 94.9) 7- 3 522 H Wichita State AME (33-26, 94.6) 4- 6 522 A UTSA AME (38-20, 97.2) 0- 4
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Toledo 6- 8 -2 2 - -3.78
214 H Toledo 5- 4 1 2 -0.78
215 H Toledo 6- 4 2 2 0.22
217 A High Point 11- 6 5 0 ++ 4.58
220 A Quinnipiac 5- 0 5 2 + 3.01
221 H Louisiana Tech 5- 8 -3 0 - -3.38
222 H Ohio State 2- 8 -6 0 --- -6.01
224 A Little Rock 24- 5 19 0 +++ 14.24
227 H Jacksonville State 1-10 -9 -2 --- -6.96
228 H Jacksonville State 4- 9 -5 -2 - -2.96
301 H Jacksonville State 1- 7 -6 -2 - -3.96
303 H Houston 1- 2 -1 0 -1.45
306 H Stony Brook 5- 0 5 3 + 2.41
307 A Missouri State 5-14 -9 -3 --- -6.39
308 A Missouri State 12-13 -1 -3 1.61
310 H Lipscomb 5- 2 3 3 0.20
313 H Eastern Illinois 14- 2 12 1 +++ 10.75
314 H Eastern Illinois 7-12 -5 1 --- -6.25
315 H Eastern Illinois 14-25 -11 1 --- -12.25
320 A Tulane 7- 6 1 -1 1.71
321 H Mississippi State 6- 7 -1 -4 + 3.29
322 A Tulane 2-12 -10 -1 --- -9.29
324 H Ole Miss 6- 2 4 -3 +++ 6.62
327 H Wichita State 3- 7 -4 0 -- -4.47
328 H Wichita State 11- 1 10 0 +++ 9.53
329 H Wichita State 3- 7 -4 0 -- -4.47
331 H Arkansas State 11- 9 2 0 + 2.48
402 A South Florida 1-10 -9 -1 --- -8.11
403 A South Florida 7- 4 3 -1 + 3.89
404 A South Florida 0- 5 -5 -1 -- -4.11
407 H Southern Miss 2- 3 -1 -2 0.58
410 A Oklahoma State 4- 3 1 -4 ++ 4.55
411 H Florida Atlantic 4- 6 -2 1 - -3.29
412 H Florida Atlantic 11- 6 5 1 + 3.71
414 H Mississippi Valley Sta 11- 3 8 7 1.30
417 A Rice 4- 1 3 -1 + 3.64
419 A Rice 6- 5 1 -1 1.64
421 A Mississippi State 2- 6 -4 -6 1.64
424 A UAB 6- 7 -1 -1 0.18
425 A UAB 13- 9 4 -1 ++ 5.18
426 A UAB 2-11 -9 -1 --- -7.82
428 A Murray State 5- 9 -4 2 -- -5.89
501 H East Carolina 0-12 -12 -2 --- -10.31
502 H East Carolina 5- 3 2 -2 + 3.69
503 H East Carolina 9- 4 5 -2 +++ 6.69
505 H Central Arkansas 8- 3 5 2 + 2.66
508 H UTSA 6- 4 2 -2 ++ 4.11
509 H UTSA 2- 9 -7 -2 -- -4.89
510 H UTSA 10- 5 5 -2 +++ 7.11
512 A Middle Tennessee 9-10 -1 0 -1.26
514 H Georgia State 9- 2 7 1 ++ 5.59
515 H Georgia State 2- 4 -2 1 - -3.41
516 A Charlotte 7- 8 -1 0 -0.58
520 H Charlotte 13- 9 4 1 + 3.07
521 A UAB 7- 3 4 -1 ++ 5.18
522 H Wichita State 4- 6 -2 0 - -2.47
522 A UTSA 0- 4 -4 -3 -0.54
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 222 H Ohio State 2- 8 -6 0 --- -6.01 227 H Jacksonville State 1-10 -9 -2 --- -6.96 307 A Missouri State 5-14 -9 -3 --- -6.39 314 H Eastern Illinois 7-12 -5 1 --- -6.25 315 H Eastern Illinois 14-25 -11 1 --- -12.25 322 A Tulane 2-12 -10 -1 --- -9.29 402 A South Florida 1-10 -9 -1 --- -8.11 426 A UAB 2-11 -9 -1 --- -7.82 501 H East Carolina 0-12 -12 -2 --- -10.31 327 H Wichita State 3- 7 -4 0 -- -4.47 329 H Wichita State 3- 7 -4 0 -- -4.47 404 A South Florida 0- 5 -5 -1 -- -4.11 428 A Murray State 5- 9 -4 2 -- -5.89 509 H UTSA 2- 9 -7 -2 -- -4.89 213 H Toledo 6- 8 -2 2 - -3.78 221 H Louisiana Tech 5- 8 -3 0 - -3.38 228 H Jacksonville State 4- 9 -5 -2 - -2.96 301 H Jacksonville State 1- 7 -6 -2 - -3.96 411 H Florida Atlantic 4- 6 -2 1 - -3.29 515 H Georgia State 2- 4 -2 1 - -3.41 522 H Wichita State 4- 6 -2 0 - -2.47 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 224 A Little Rock 24- 5 19 0 +++ 14.24 313 H Eastern Illinois 14- 2 12 1 +++ 10.75 324 H Ole Miss 6- 2 4 -3 +++ 6.62 328 H Wichita State 11- 1 10 0 +++ 9.53 503 H East Carolina 9- 4 5 -2 +++ 6.69 510 H UTSA 10- 5 5 -2 +++ 7.11 217 A High Point 11- 6 5 0 ++ 4.58 410 A Oklahoma State 4- 3 1 -4 ++ 4.55 425 A UAB 13- 9 4 -1 ++ 5.18 508 H UTSA 6- 4 2 -2 ++ 4.11 514 H Georgia State 9- 2 7 1 ++ 5.59 521 A UAB 7- 3 4 -1 ++ 5.18 220 A Quinnipiac 5- 0 5 2 + 3.01 306 H Stony Brook 5- 0 5 3 + 2.41 321 H Mississippi State 6- 7 -1 -4 + 3.29 331 H Arkansas State 11- 9 2 0 + 2.48 403 A South Florida 7- 4 3 -1 + 3.89 412 H Florida Atlantic 11- 6 5 1 + 3.71 417 A Rice 4- 1 3 -1 + 3.64 502 H East Carolina 5- 3 2 -2 + 3.69 505 H Central Arkansas 8- 3 5 2 + 2.66 520 H Charlotte 13- 9 4 1 + 3.07 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Toledo ( 6-13, 93.3) 6- 8 -6.63 11.80 -0.68 0.51 -1.85
3 H Toledo ( 6-13, 93.3) 5- 4 -6.63 11.80 -0.68 0.51 11.29
3 H Toledo ( 6-13, 93.3) 6- 4 -6.63 11.80 -0.68 0.51 11.29
3 A High Point ( 8-12, 93.3) 11- 6 -6.62 11.80 0.68 0.51 12.66
3 A Quinnipiac ( 3- 4, 91.7) 5- 0 -8.19 10.23 0.68 0.51 11.07
3 H Louisiana Tech (31-26, 94.7) 5- 8 -5.24 13.19 -0.68 0.51 -1.50
3 H Ohio State (31-22, 95.0) 2- 8 -4.87 13.56 -0.68 0.51 -1.41
3 A Little Rock (16-12, 93.9) 24- 5 -5.97 12.46 0.68 0.51 13.33
3 H Jacksonville S (47-18, 97.1) 1-10 -2.82 15.61 -0.68 0.51 -0.89
3 H Jacksonville S (47-18, 97.1) 4- 9 -2.82 15.61 -0.68 0.51 -0.89
3 H Jacksonville S (47-18, 97.1) 1- 7 -2.82 15.61 -0.68 0.51 -0.89
3 H Houston (23-28, 94.6) 1- 2 -5.30 13.12 -0.68 0.51 -1.52
3 H Stony Brook (22-27, 92.5) 5- 0 -7.44 10.99 -0.68 0.51 10.46
3 A Missouri State (35-19, 96.3) 5-14 -3.59 14.83 0.68 0.51 -0.74
3 A Missouri State (35-19, 96.3) 12-13 -3.59 14.83 0.68 0.51 -0.74
3 H Lipscomb (32-22, 92.2) 5- 2 -7.65 10.77 -0.68 0.51 10.24
3 H Eastern Illino ( 8- 7, 93.8) 14- 2 -6.10 12.32 -0.68 0.51 11.82
3 H Eastern Illino ( 8- 7, 93.8) 7-12 -6.10 12.32 -0.68 0.51 -1.72
3 H Eastern Illino ( 8- 7, 93.8) 14-25 -6.10 12.32 -0.68 0.51 -1.72
3 A Tulane (25-31, 94.4) 7- 6 -5.49 12.93 0.68 0.51 13.81
3 H Mississippi St (43-20, 99.3) 6- 7 -0.56 17.86 -0.68 0.51 -0.31
3 A Tulane (25-31, 94.4) 2-12 -5.49 12.93 0.68 0.51 -1.22
3 H Ole Miss (38-25, 97.7) 6- 2 -2.23 16.20 -0.68 0.51 15.75
3 H Wichita State (33-26, 94.6) 3- 7 -5.32 13.11 -0.68 0.51 -1.52
3 H Wichita State (33-26, 94.6) 11- 1 -5.32 13.11 -0.68 0.51 12.61
3 H Wichita State (33-26, 94.6) 3- 7 -5.32 13.11 -0.68 0.51 -1.52
3 H Arkansas State (29-25, 95.5) 11- 9 -4.38 14.05 -0.68 0.51 13.57
3 A South Florida (30-22, 94.6) 1-10 -5.32 13.11 0.68 0.51 -1.18
3 A South Florida (30-22, 94.6) 7- 4 -5.32 13.11 0.68 0.51 13.99
3 A South Florida (30-22, 94.6) 0- 5 -5.32 13.11 0.68 0.51 -1.18
3 H Southern Miss (40-20, 96.6) 2- 3 -3.27 15.15 -0.68 0.51 -1.00
3 A Oklahoma State (39-22, 97.2) 4- 3 -2.66 15.77 0.68 0.51 16.69
3 H Florida Atlant (28-26, 93.8) 4- 6 -6.15 12.28 -0.68 0.51 -1.73
3 H Florida Atlant (28-26, 93.8) 11- 6 -6.15 12.28 -0.68 0.51 11.77
3 H Mississippi Va ( 0- 4, 88.3) 11- 3 -11.55 6.87 -0.68 0.51 6.29
3 A Rice (31-26, 94.3) 4- 1 -5.57 12.86 0.68 0.51 13.73
3 A Rice (31-26, 94.3) 6- 5 -5.57 12.86 0.68 0.51 13.73
3 A Mississippi St (43-20, 99.3) 2- 6 -0.56 17.86 0.68 0.51 -0.03
3 A UAB (31-27, 94.9) 6- 7 -5.02 13.40 0.68 0.51 -1.10
3 A UAB (31-27, 94.9) 13- 9 -5.02 13.40 0.68 0.51 14.29
3 A UAB (31-27, 94.9) 2-11 -5.02 13.40 0.68 0.51 -1.10
3 A Murray State ( 9-13, 91.8) 5- 9 -8.09 10.34 0.68 0.51 -1.88
3 H East Carolina (36-25, 96.7) 0-12 -3.16 15.26 -0.68 0.51 -0.97
3 H East Carolina (36-25, 96.7) 5- 3 -3.16 15.26 -0.68 0.51 14.80
3 H East Carolina (36-25, 96.7) 9- 4 -3.16 15.26 -0.68 0.51 14.80
3 H Central Arkans (31-25, 92.7) 8- 3 -7.19 11.24 -0.68 0.51 10.72
3 H UTSA (38-20, 97.2) 6- 4 -2.74 15.68 -0.68 0.51 15.23
3 H UTSA (38-20, 97.2) 2- 9 -2.74 15.68 -0.68 0.51 -0.87
3 H UTSA (38-20, 97.2) 10- 5 -2.74 15.68 -0.68 0.51 15.23
3 A Middle Tenness (27-30, 93.4) 9-10 -6.47 11.96 0.68 0.51 -1.47
3 H Georgia State (26-30, 93.6) 9- 2 -6.26 12.16 -0.68 0.51 11.66
3 H Georgia State (26-30, 93.6) 2- 4 -6.26 12.16 -0.68 0.51 -1.76
3 A Charlotte (25-31, 94.1) 7- 8 -5.79 12.64 0.68 0.51 -1.30
3 H Charlotte (25-31, 94.1) 13- 9 -5.79 12.64 -0.68 0.51 12.14
3 A UAB (31-27, 94.9) 7- 3 -5.02 13.40 0.68 0.51 14.29
3 H Wichita State (33-26, 94.6) 4- 6 -5.32 13.11 -0.68 0.51 -1.52
3 A UTSA (38-20, 97.2) 0- 4 -2.74 15.68 0.68 0.51 -0.52
------
311.20
|
winning pts = 347.2548 losing points = -36.0536
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------